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APPLIED GEOPHYSICS  2025, Vol. 22 Issue (2): 472-487    DOI: 10.1007/s11770-025-1173-4
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Risk Prediction of Tunnel Water and Mud Inrush Based on Decision-Level Fusion of Multisource Data
Shi-shu Zhang*, Peng Wang, Hua-bo Xiao, Huai-bing Wang, Yi-guo Xue, Wei-dong Chen, Kai Zhang
1. PowerChina Chengdu Engineering Corporation Limited, Chengdu 610072, China 2. Institute of Geotechnical and Underground Engineering, Shandong University, Jinan 250061, China 3. School of Engineering and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083, China.
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Abstract This paper addresses the accuracy and timeliness limitations of traditional comprehensive prediction methods by proposing an approach of decision-level fusion of multisource data. A risk prediction indicator system was established for water and mud inrush in tunnels by analyzing advanced prediction data for specifictunnel segments. Additionally, the indicator weights were determined using the analytic hierarchy process combined with the Huber weighting method. Subsequently, a multisource data decision-layer fusion algorithm was utilized to generate fused imaging results for tunnel water and mud inrush risk predictions. Meanwhile, risk analysis was performed for different tunnel sections to achieve spatial and temporal complementarity within the indicator system and optimize redundant information. Finally, model feasibility was validated using the CZ Project Sejila Mountain Tunnel segment as a case study, yielding favorable risk prediction results and enabling efficient information fusion and support for construction decision-making.
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Key wordsTunnel water and mud inrush    prediction methods    risk indicators, multisource data    decisionlevel fusion     
Received: 2024-10-07;
Fund: Research in this paper is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant numbers 42293351, and U2468221).
Corresponding Authors: Shi-shu Zhang (Email: 1992070@chidi.com.cn).   
 E-mail: 1992070@chidi.com.cn
About author: Zhang Shishu, a professor-level senior engineer and nationally registered geotechnical engineer, currently serves as the Deputy Party Secretary of the Power China Chengdu Engineering Corporation Limited. In 2019, he was awarded the Second Prize of the National Science and Technology Progress Award. He has been engaged in research on geological investigation for hydropower projects, geological disaster prevention and control, and the planning and development of new energy projects.
Cite this article:   
. Risk Prediction of Tunnel Water and Mud Inrush Based on Decision-Level Fusion of Multisource Data[J]. APPLIED GEOPHYSICS, 2025, 22(2): 472-487.
 
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